I don't know if Wild Willie is still the frugal penny pincher that he used to be in his youth, but he may want to lay off the healthy lifestyle and fatten up.
In a paper published online Monday in the Public Library of Science Medicine journal, Dutch researchers found that the health costs of thin and healthy people in adulthood are more expensive than those of either fat people or smokers.OK. So the point of the article isn't really to let your flab fly, so don't go crazy with the Ben and Jerry's just yet. But it does question this notion that obesity and smoking are the primary culprits for the rising cost of healthcare.
Van Baal and colleagues created a model to simulate lifetime health costs for three groups of 1,000 people: the "healthy-living" group (thin and non-smoking), obese people, and smokers. The model relied on "cost of illness" data and disease prevalence in the Netherlands in 2003.
The researchers found that from age 20 to 56, obese people racked up the most expensive health costs. But because both the smokers and the obese people died sooner than the healthy group, it cost less to treat them in the long run.
On average, healthy people lived 84 years. Smokers lived about 77 years, and obese people lived about 80 years. Smokers and obese people tended to have more heart disease than the healthy people.
Cancer incidence, except for lung cancer, was the same in all three groups. Obese people had the most diabetes, and healthy people had the most strokes. Ultimately, the thin and healthy group cost the most, about $417,000, from age 20 on.
The cost of care for obese people was $371,000, and for smokers, about $326,000.
The results counter the common perception that preventing obesity will save health systems worldwide millions of dollars.
"This throws a bucket of cold water onto the idea that obesity is going to cost trillions of dollars," said Patrick Basham, a professor of health politics at Johns Hopkins University who was unconnected to the study. He said that government projections about obesity costs are frequently based on guesswork, political agendas, and changing science.
3 comments:
Why the Netherlands? I gotta think that obesity there is different than it is in the US.
I think what everyone is starting to wake up to is the fact that thin, fat, smoker, non-smoker; it doesn't matter what you do, you're eventually going to die.
And the funny thing about the picture, the girl on the right can say, "I'm the thin one."
It's all relative, man.
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